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Power Capacity Expansion Planning Considering Endogenous Technology Cost Learning

机译:考虑内生技术成本学习的电力容量扩展规划

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摘要

We present an power systems optimisation model for national-scale power supply capacity expansion considering endogenous technology cost reduction (ESO-XEL). The mixed-integer linear program minimises total system cost while complying with operational constraints, carbon emission targets, and ancillary service requirements. A data clustering technique and the relaxation of integer scheduling constraints is evaluated and applied to decrease the model solution time. Two cost learning curves for the different power technologies are derived: one assuming local learning effects, the other accounting for global knowledge spill-over. A piece-wise linear formulation allows the integration of the exponential learning curves into the ESO-XEL model. The model is applied to the UK power system in the time frame of 2015 to 2050. The consideration of cost learning effects moves optimal investment timings to earlier planning years and influences the competitiveness of technologies. In addition, the maximum capacity build rate parameter influences the share of power generation significantly; the possibility of rapid capacity build-up is more important for total system cost reduction by 2050 than accounting for technology cost reduction.
机译:考虑到内源性技术成本降低(ESO-XEL),我们提出了用于全国规模的电源容量扩展的电源系统优化模型。混合整数线性程序在满足操作约束,碳排放目标和辅助服务要求的同时,将总系统成本降至最低。评估并应用了数据聚类技术和整数调度约束的松弛,以减少模型求解时间。得出了两种针对不同电力技术的成本学习曲线:一种假定了本地学习效果,另一种假定了全球知识溢出。分段线性公式允许将指数学习曲线集成到ESO-XEL模型中。该模型在2015年至2050年的时间范围内应用于英国电力系统。对成本学习效果的考虑将最佳投资时机移至了较早的规划年,并影响了技术的竞争力。此外,最大容量建立速率参数会显着影响发电份额;对于到2050年降低总体系统成本而言,快速建立容量的可能性比考虑技术成本的降低更为重要。

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